1.0 Isifinyezo

Ukuze kube lula kubantu embonini ukuqonda isimo semboni yempahla eyinhlanganisela yomhlaba eminyakeni yamuva, ikakhulukazi ngo-2022, i-ZBREHON, njengomkhiqizi wezinto eziyinhlanganisela ochwepheshe, yethule uchungechunge lwemibiko yokuhlaziya mayelana nesimo samanje. yomkhakha wezinto ezihlanganisiwe zomhlaba wonke ngo-2023. Lesi sihloko sizofingqa kafushane imboni yezinto ezibonakalayo eziyinhlanganisela yomhlaba wonke ngo-2022. Isimo semboni ye-carbon fiber.

Ngemuva kweminyaka emibili yokwehla ngo-2020 nango-2021, imboni ye-carbon fibre yaphinde yakhula ngo-2022. Ngo-2022, ukukhiqizwa kwemboni ye-carbon fiber emhlabeni wonke kuzokhuphuka cishe ngo-9%, futhi inani lokukhiphayo lizofinyelela kumaphawundi ayizigidi ezingu-191 ($3.6 billion). Inani ledola lokuthunyelwa kwe-carbon fiber ngo-2022 lenyuka cishe ngo-27%, njengoba amanani e-carbon fiber enyuka cishe ngama-20% ngo-2022 uma kuqhathaniswa no-2021.

Ngaphambi kokugqashuka kwe-COVID-19, amanani entengo ye-carbon fiber ayesehle kakhulu, kepha lo mkhuba waphazanyiswa yizinkinga zezwe kanye nokuqubuka kwempi phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, okuholele ekwenyukeni kwentengo kawoyela negesi yemvelo, futhi. njengezinto ezihlukahlukene zokusetshenziswa.

U-Lucintel ubikezela ukuthi isidingo semboni ye-carbon fiber emhlabeni wonke sizokhula ngezinga lokukhula lonyaka elihlanganisiwe (CAGR) elicishe libe ngu-7% kusukela ngo-2023 kuya ku-2028 ngenxa yezizathu ezimbalwa, okuhlanganisa ukukhula kokusetshenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kuma-wind turbine blades, ukulethwa kwezindiza , ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto ezilula, izimpahla zezemidlalo, nokukhula kwesidingo semikhiqizo kagesi neye-elekthronikhi.

Enye yezimakethe eziphawuleka kakhulu yiShayina, okwamanje etshala imali eningi emakethe ye-carbon fibre. Isibonelo, iSinopec yethule ulayini wokuqala omkhulu waseChina wokukhiqiza i-carbon fibre enamandla omthamo wamathani ayi-10,000. Izinkampani zisungula izinto ezintsha futhi ziphazamisa izimboni ezahlukahlukene zokusebenzisa ekugcineni zisebenzisa i-carbon fiber. Kunamakhulu ezinkampani ezikhiqiza izingxenye ze-CFRP e-China. Ukwengeza, i-China ilwela ukuhola imakethe yamarobhothi ne-drone, ezoba namandla amakhulu e-carbon fiber ngokuzayo.

Omunye umkhuba ozoba nomthelela omkhulu emakethe ye-carbon fibre yintshisekelo ekhulayo emnothweni we-hydrogen, nombono wokusebenzisa i-hydrogen njengomthombo wamandla wekhabhoni ephansi. Zombili izimoto ze-hydrogen nezikagesi zivula indlela yezindawo ezihlanzekile, eziluhlaza emgwaqeni. Kodwa ngokungafani nezimoto zikagesi, ezithatha isikhathi eside ukushajwa kabusha, izimoto ze-hydrogen zingagcwaliswa ngokushesha eziteshini zikaphethiloli. Amaseli kaphethiloli we-hydrogen nawo angasetshenziswa ukunika amandla izimoto zabagibeli, amaloli asindayo, amabhasi, ama-forklift, izindiza nezinye izimoto zokuhamba.

Ngenxa yokuntuleka kwengqalasizinda eqinile ye-hydrogen, isidingo somhlaba wonke sezimoto zamafutha kaphethiloli sizobalelwa kuphela i-0.03% yokuthengiswa kwezimoto eziphelele ngo-2022. Ngaphezu kwalokho, abathengi emhlabeni wonke abanalo izinketho eziningi zezimoto ze-hydrogen fuel cell. Izindaba ezinhle ukuthi isidingo sezimoto ezithwala uphethiloli sikhule ngesivinini kule minyaka edlule. Uma lo mkhuba uqhubeka, isidingo se-carbon fiber izokhula ngokushesha njengoba isetshenziswa kumaseli kaphethiloli, ama-electrolyzers kanye namathangi okugcina i-hydrogen.

Amathrendi ezomnotho ayindilinga agxile ekusetshenzisweni kabusha nasekuvuseleleni izinto nemikhiqizo azophinde abe nomthelela ekukhuleni kwe-carbon fiber esikhathini esizayo. Mayelana nokusimama, izingxenye ze-carbon fiber zivumela ukonga isisindo esibalulekile, okubuye kunciphise ukusetshenziswa kukaphethiloli kanye nokukhishwa kwegesi ebamba ukushisa. Kodwa ukuvuselela izingxenye ze-carbon fibre ekupheleni kwempilo yabo kuyinselele. Ucwaningo luka-Lucintel lukhomba ezimweni eziningi lapho i-carbon fiber igaywa kabusha kusuka kudoti, kodwa okwamanje ayigaywa kabusha ekupheleni kwempilo.

Abahlinzeki bezinto ezibonakalayo kanye nabakhiqizi bezingxenye bangaphansi kwengcindezi ekhulayo yokuzibandakanya ezinkambisweni ezisimeme ezisekela umnotho oyindilinga. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi eyezimoto, amandla omoya noma ama-OEMs asemoyeni afuna ukuzwa izindaba ezinhle zomnotho eziyindilinga mayelana ne-carbon fibre nezingxenye ze-carbon fibre.

Ama-OEM amaningi ahlose ukungathathi hlangothi phakathi kuka-2030 no-2050, futhi asecabanga ukugaywa kabusha njengengxenye yenqubo yawo yokuklama yokukhiqiza ingxenye yesizukulwane esilandelayo. Ngokusebenzisa ubuchwepheshe obusha nezinto zokwakha, abahlinzeki bempahla kanye nengxenye evumela ama-OEMs ukuthi afinyelele imigomo yomnotho oyindilinga azothola isabelo semakethe esikhathini esizayo.

Umthombo: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ZPNhsJbaxSIFZgbbwOIWmg

Umhlinzeki wesevisi yesisombululo esingasindi esisodwa esiseduze nawe. Khetha i-ZBREHON, khetha Okuholayo.

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